Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 172.534790 192.683491 214.778057 240.896613 271.045984 304.894786 345.967168
2025-04-20 145.803163 173.601048 206.620463 249.122758 302.943800 369.591252 459.569645
2025-04-27 131.734250 163.765159 203.947037 258.853642 333.189963 432.212812 577.377435
2025-05-04 118.436775 152.142599 196.234752 259.371250 349.547042 477.073646 677.463748
2025-05-11 105.888005 139.601531 185.203689 253.028521 354.272481 504.842522 756.030205
2025-05-18 96.188394 129.690864 176.344852 248.094303 359.509329 532.968350 838.882892
2025-05-25 91.511796 126.200850 175.950155 255.128033 383.228131 592.550447 984.543695
2025-06-01 85.568999 120.242290 171.209615 254.715991 394.663148 633.201943 1104.426422
2025-06-08 79.472248 113.486648 164.557919 250.375194 398.723468 661.287004 1205.789005
2025-06-15 75.225665 109.151030 161.177550 250.849986 410.827680 705.182154 1347.537023
2025-06-22 70.249899 103.289499 154.858145 245.659103 412.042606 728.568412 1450.788135
2025-06-29 66.386691 98.889583 150.511515 243.359579 418.132719 762.094989 1583.929358
2025-07-06 61.171899 92.064566 141.811086 232.817908 407.875950 762.046243 1641.112631
2025-07-13 59.726682 91.273950 143.130618 240.447951 433.894766 842.214953 1917.784940
2025-07-20 58.661023 91.010028 145.282266 249.769728 464.502243 937.962238 2265.630256
2025-07-27 56.248870 88.299384 142.936078 250.264723 476.760769 994.050179 2521.309685
2025-08-03 53.040609 84.022033 137.493346 244.194760 474.108042 1014.098690 2676.146055
2025-08-10 50.288642 80.375466 132.938820 239.471658 473.841697 1040.027556 2858.455552
2025-08-17 49.341516 79.833923 134.008487 246.204156 500.326294 1139.249425 3321.372576
2025-08-24 47.503226 77.590544 131.746211 245.809813 510.157762 1196.305979 3659.858596
2025-08-31 45.317079 74.597951 127.871029 241.655075 510.455143 1227.163585 3913.165740
2025-09-07 43.845912 72.827020 126.213752 242.109552 522.111945 1292.814307 4334.097353
2025-09-14 41.831850 69.950793 122.235118 237.140300 519.528277 1316.014262 4588.194507